Saturday, August 25, 2012

PR epi6 - nutkin'rs' scores


(SPOILER, SPOILER)
#ProjectRunway ... nutkin'rs proclaimed their chosen few for episode 6, and THANKS to harold's girl for texting the top3/bot3, winner, and loser (while i was out and about on thursday evening). once again (like last week), i was eating french fries and drinking a hefeweizen at old ship saloon (but that's not relevant here). so here are we go - nutkin'rs predictions for epi6 shuffled the herd -
close scores among the herd, with only a 2.25 point spread
(details of the math in this post)
last week's 1st is tied for 4th/5th
last week's 5th is now 2nd


episode 6 happenings ... check out the recap links in an upcoming post for a flavor of the ven-is-a-butthead-meany-man episode. although i watched the episode after my very fun thursday evening out, my evening haz a sad watching and listening to ven. i'll let the recaps dish about ven.

short version - fashiontestants worked with "normal people" for head-to-toe make-overs, e.g., hair cut, hair style, hair color, and PR designer special outfit. after a teaser by heidi that one or two designers may be AUF'd ... fake. (just an excuse to make us stare at mean-ven, alone on the runway, being lightly scolded in that heidi-practice-your-acting moment - and then sheer disappointment that he wasn't AUF'd.)

9 fashiontestants heading into episode 7
4 women, 4 men, 1 butthead-man
math time for nutkin'rs ... with a few competitive nutkin'rs, as a just in case, i'm deconstructing EACH NUTKIN'RS score for episode 6. here are each nutkin'rs' predictions and then the math explained - point system explained in this post over here, with an added SUBTRACT 0.50 points if a nutkin'rs' top person was on the in the bottom and if a bottom was one the in the top.
(click on image to read predictions and results)
standings after episode 6 ... yes, nutkin'rs were shuffled around, but the point spread is only 2.25. it's close.
  • squirrel + 9 - 1 = + 8 points for 1st place (last wk 2nd) ... + 1 (final 3/4 in tact) + 4 (nathan listed in pair 'em ups) + 2 (predicted two in top 3) + 2 (predicted two in bottom 3) - 1 (predicted two in reverse of top & bottom). bummed to see nathan AUF'd but not bummed enough.
  • shiny penny + 10 - 1 = + 9 points for 2nd place (last wk 5th) ... + 1 (final 3/4 in tact) + 3 (nathan listed in pair 'em ups) + 5 (predicted three of the top 3) + 1 (predicted one in bottom 3) - 1 (predicted two in reverse in the top). shiny penny's strategy of bulking up on his top 3 picks - VERY strategic. will shiny penny inch forward?
  • harold's girl + 7 - 2 = + 5 points for 3rd place (last wk 2nd) ... + 1 (loser predicted) + 1 (final 3/4 in tact) + 3 (nathan listed in pair 'em ups) + 1 (predicted 1 of the top 3) + 1 (predicted 1 of the bottom 3) - 2 (predicted four in reverse of top & bottom). harold's girl just edged out pho queen by one point (by predicted the loser). oh so close!

  • pho queen + 6 - 2 = + 4 points for tie 4th/5th (last wk 1st) ... + 1 (final 3/4 in tact) + 3 (nathan listed in pair 'em ups) + 1 (predicted 1 of the top 3) + 1 (predicted 1 of the bottom 3) - 2 (predicted four in reverse of top & bottom). quite the rollercoaster with pho queen, who may likely be back in 1st place episode 7, if history repeats itself. have faith!
  • zoe's buddy + 7 - 2 = 5 points for  tie 4th/5th (last wk 1st) ... + 1 (final 3/4 in tact) + 4 (nathan listed in pair 'em ups) + 1 (predicted 1 of the top 3) + 1 (predicted 1 of the bottom 3) - 2 (predicted four in reverse of top & bottom). zoe's buddy has been on the cusp of 4th these past three episodes. episode 7 may be the breakout episode - landing zoe on the in the top nutkin'rs - and maybe even the big dog.
corrections from nutkin'rs? ... show me the math, and i'll make adjustments.

recaps in a separate post

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